Media’s New Line on the Pandemic, from today’s LA Times: A winter surge in COVID-19 cases seems inevitable. Can we stop it?
“Saying a surge is inevitable may sound like fatalism,” said William Hanage, an epidemiologist at Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health. “But just because some surge of some size is inevitable, it doesn’t mean the size is inevitable.”
If the United States continues to relax social distancing restrictions and mask-wearing requirements, as many as 500,000 more Americans could die of COVID-19 between now and the end of February, according to scientists at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington. That’s on top of the roughly 240,000 COVID-19 deaths the country has absorbed already.
Even if we take substantial collective action, the number of additional deaths from the coronavirus could top 100,000 between now and Feb. 28, the IHME researchers said.
“We are past the point of being able to get the virus under control,” said Christopher Murray, director of the institute and leader of the modeling work. “There is too much of it out there.”