Q: So, is Trump flailing badly and going to lose big(ly), or does he have a real path to winning the Electoral College? A: Yes.

https://cookpolitical.com/index.php/analysis/national/national-politics/its-2016-all-over-again

Despite losing big in the suburbs in 2017, 2018 and 2019, the Trump campaign has zero interest in doing what it takes to win them back. Though they have more money and a better, more sophisticated campaign infrastructure, the Trump campaign is using the same playbook from 2016. Maximize turnout from the base at all costs and hope that Democrats nominate a candidate who will be even more unappealing to the suburban voters who have abandoned the party.

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