Groupthink Crazies — Who Can Not Cope with Predictions that Sanders (or Trump) would win

I predicted that Trump would win the primary and the general election, to derision from people who literally could not cope. A year ago I said it was highly likely Sanders would win, to a similar reaction.

So, I know how Sean Trende feels — but mostly, I think the Groupthink that prevents people from considering what they assume to never happen, is widely made credible by the Main Stream Media who have taken to reporting what they want reality to be, rather than what it is, because they can’t cope with realistic possibilities.

These mainstream media people view themselves as smart but are consistently wrong.

They were wrong about Trump winning the primary.

They were wrong about Trump winning the general.

They were wrong about Sanders and his current winning the most votes in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada — and when facts interfere with their imagined reality, Chris-Matthews-like-meltdowns happen.

Now, they insist Sanders cannot win the general.

They are consistently wrong, and their viewpoints should not be given such weight since they are consistently wrong.

From Sean Trende:

Finally, beyond the enhanced fundraising and core of strong supporters, candidates like Trump and Sanders have benefitted from what I dubbed “unthinkability bias” in 2016. This is like a strong version of confirmation bias, where people set their prior probabilities of an event occurring to zero and refuse to update their priors because they just can’t conceive of the possibility coming to pass. In the summer of 2016, I wrote a series of pieces suggesting that Trump could win the general election; these were met such derision and invective that I took a month-long break from Twitter. In late 2019, I wrote a piece suggesting that people were underestimating Sanders’ chances of becoming the Democratic nominee. While the response was less angry, it was still met with a degree of skepticism that seems unwarranted today.