Category: Web Briefing
Morning Consult: Sanders 25%, Bloomberg 15% — Mayor Pete at 11%
Sanders leads Mayor Pete by a 2:1 margin based on a poll of 2,500 potential Democratic voter between February 3rd – 5th, with a +/- 2.0% margin of error, less than half the normal...
Li Wenliang’s death is a new crisis for China’s rulers
From The Economist: “IF YOU KEEP being stubborn, fail to repent and continue illegal activities, you will be brought to justice.” So read the warning that police in Wuhan issued to Li Wenliang early...
After Pelosi’s Impeachment Took Out Biden, Senator Klobuchar’s Rise will Continue
Let me explain: wargaming the outcome, post-New Hampshire, led me to several surprising possibilities, including the continued rise of Senator Klobuchar. First, let’s talk about Sanders. To kick-off the DEMpire operations against Sanders, they...
Slate: Buttigieg helps take Down Biden, as Left Consolidates around Bernie
From Slate: In short, Buttigieg is helping to consolidate the left and split the moderates, creating ideal conditions for a Sanders win. Meanwhile, there’s still little sign the man from McKinsey has a real...
New York Magazine: “Bernie Sanders is currently favored to win the nomination”
From New York Magazine: “It is always darkest, John McCain used to say, before it gets totally black. So it is for the American center-left right now. Bernie Sanders is currently favored to win...
New York Magazine: The Failing Non-Bloomberg Candidates Means Bloomberg is Center-Right Dems “Best-Case Scenario”
From New York Magazine: “Unless one of the non-Bloombergs can somehow get off the mat and defeat Sanders, this is probably the best-case scenario for liberals at this point. It seems more probable that Sanders crushes...
Biden goes missing in New Hampshire
From the Washington Post, via MSNBC: “Biden spent Thursday gathered with his top advisers at his home in Wilmington, Del., seeking a reset and perhaps a last-ditch effort to save his candidacy, beginning with...
DEMpire Strikes Back: Recanvas in Iowa would Delay Results until After New Hampshire Vote
From Politico: “Several Iowa Democrats who spoke to POLITICO on the condition they not be identified said that even if a recanvass took place, the results would almost certainly not come through until after...
If these Tencent Numbers on the Chinese Wuhan Virus are Accurate — and it’s a big if — then the Mortality Rate is 15.9%
Tencent‘s web site has, over the last several days, had some very different numbers on the number of infected in China with the Wuhan virus, and a much, much higher death toll and mortality...
Text of the 2020 State of the Union
Office of the Press SecretaryFOR IMMEDIATE RELEASEFebruary 4, 2020 *EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL CONCLUSION OF REMARKS* PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP’S STATE OF THE UNION ADDRESSRemarks as prepared for deliveryTO THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES: ...
“If you are a Sanders supporter, you have reason to be suspicious”
From The Guardian: So what went wrong? It’s still not quite clear, though there were reports that a special app used to transmit vote totals had malfunctioned. Questions were immediately raised about who built...
Iowa Incompetence Helps Obscure Biden’s 4th Place Finish, But New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina will Crush Him
Biden is eight points behind Sanders in New Hampshire, and the Iowa slow-motion results release of Biden’s 4th place finish is helping Biden, but not for long. After New Hampshire, he will have lost...
My Thoughts on Iowa
First, the dumpster fire: Second, the Hindenberg: But seriously and obviously, this will profoundly harm the Democratic party nationally and in Iowa. Clearly, expect a Trump-bump from this debacle. Given that Mayor-Cheat is trending...
New Adult Drink: the Election Night
So if you are watching the Iowa caucuses tonight, and you are feeling either great or not-so-great, this drink should make you feel better. During the 2016 Presidential Election, I invented it. How to...
Will Forcing Risk Adverse People to Make a Decision, Produce No Decision?
What if the large pool of undecided in Iowa, decide not to decide? They are not capable of making a decision. They can’t pick just one candidate. Just like the New York Times editorial...
NYT: Wuhan Virus Looks Increasingly Like a Pandemic, Experts Say
From the New York Times: “The Wuhan coronavirus spreading from China is now likely to become a pandemic that circles the globe, according to many of the world’s leading infectious disease experts… Scientists do...
Don’t Believe that the Des Moines Register Spiked their Last Poll before the Caucuses Over a Single Time One Candidate Was Not Named in One Question to One Voter
The stated reason that the Des Moines Register and CNN spiked their last poll prior to tomorrow’s Iowa Caucus is, well, highly suspect. According to the Des Moines Register, one person asking Iowans who...
New Yorker: On the Eve of the Iowa Caucuses “the Party is split between its likely future and its current reality”
An Emerson poll of Iowa this week found that forty-four per cent of Democrats under fifty support Sanders; ten per cent favor Elizabeth Warren, and no other candidate reached double digits. You’d think that a...
Using Offical Figures, Mortality Rate of the Chinese Virus is Holding at 2%
98% of those infected with the new Chinese virus, 2019-nCOV, survive. Using official figures that have an unknown, but have a potentially massive margin of error — in other words, using figures that are...