DON’T PANIC! DON’T WORRY! The New Virus from China is Part of Life on Planet Earth — And It’s Not Nearly as Bad as If It was Bird Flu
The notion that the new nCoV virus that began weeks ago in a fish market in Wuhan, China near to the city’s main rail station can be contained is a cute notion.
I’ve been tracking the virus for weeks and posted the first article about it on January 4th, 2020.
Right now, the virus has been detected in at least four of the farthest-flung cities in China (see map below) and has been confirmed in Thailand, South Korea, Japan, and in the United States. Now, the Philippines too. Singapore is screening and “isolating” all visitors from China but has yet to report an incidence of the virus, and Australia has yet to report the results of its test of a sick traveler from China.
The most likely result of being infected with this new coronavirus is that you end up with flu-like symptoms and then feel better. (There were six coronaviruses that could infect humans, this is now the seventh.)
For much less than one percent of the population, the result of being infected is death.
That is a very high estimate because of the 300 known cases, there are six deaths.
Those 300 cases that are of the known, recorded cases.
It is unknown how many more cases of people who have the virus but did not feel sick enough to go to the doctor and be tested.
There are likely hundreds, perhaps thousands of more cases of the virus infecting people who just feel sick until they feel better, and don’t go to the doctor. For example, “scientists at Imperial College London think that at least 1,700 people could be infected in Wuhan alone.”
But these don’t-go-to-the-doctor-cases are not counted in any official Chinese, Thailand, Japanese or U.S. figures.
Meaning the fish market virus is likely far more widespread than is being reported.
And, at some point, it is better to accept that the virus has jumped the global containment efforts and will make sick those who are genetically susceptible to becoming sick with this virus, and those who are not will be infected but will be immune and have no symptoms.
Those who get sick and get better will be much less likely to be sick again since they have defenses that have fought it off already. The breathless headlines that the new virus does not respond to antibiotics, that “antibiotics don’t work,” neglect to mention that no virus responds to antibiotics. This is nothing new when it comes to viruses. You, your body will respond to the virus and will heal itself, just like when you have the flu.
In the rare cases of those who can not fight it off will die, but their inability to fight the virus will end with them, and that genetic weakness will not be passed on to the rest of the human herd, and so their death serves that positive purpose and protects the rest of humanity.
This is all just part of life on planet Earth.
Even now, this year and last and the past however many thousands of years of human history exist, the old and young have been dying of viruses, like, for example, influenza.
Every year the influenza virus mutates and presents a new version of itself, trying to infect as many humans as possible. But we adapt too, our bodies form new defenses to fight these new threats.
Now, if the fish market virus that escaped China was a new strain of the bird flu, it would likely be far more deadly — with a mortality rate that could be as high as twenty to thirty percent or 60% as it is with H7N9 — now that would be something to worry about, but not this new coronavirus from the Wuhan fish market. This is why Dr. Martin Cetron, director of CDC’s division of global migration and quarantine told CNN: “This isn’t anywhere near in the same category as measles or the flu.”
It’s just another virus on planet Earth trying to survive and continue its life by infecting as many hosts as possible.