Checking the Accuracy of My Predictions About the Democratic Presidential Nomination — they’re still holding

by Daniel Perrin · February 18, 2020

March 4, 2019, and again on January 30, 2020: Sanders wins Dem nomination. Highly likely.

December 19th, 2019: Warren’s campaign is over. Check.

January 6, 2020: Sanders wins Iowa and New Hampshire. Check.

January 6, 2020: Sanders wins Nevada. Highly likely.

January 30, 2020: Sanders and Bloomberg will be the last men standing. Highly likely.

January 30, 2020: Sanders wins South Carolina. Highly likely.

February 7, 2019: Klobachar will rise in New Hampshire. Check.

I might as well make my predictions about the U.S. Senate public:

Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) will lose.

Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) will lose.

Senator Sally McSally (R-AZ) will lose.

Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) will lose.

Senator Cory Gardner (R-CO) will lose.

Senator Doug Jones (D-AL) will lose.

GOP net loss of four seats. Post-election U.S. Senate: 51 Dem – 49 GOP.

Dems hold the U.S. House.