Pat Caddell, Frank Luntz, Larry Sabato, my algorithm and the www.fivethirtyeight.com algorithm all are predicting the end of Speaker Pelosi and the end of the Dems control of the House.
I will never make the mistake of believing that even the irrational Dems will act in their own self-interest.
Their leadership of Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Waxman and […]

Mike Stopa wrote a fascinating plan to Dismantle ObamaCare.
As William Jacobson writes, “Stopa is a Physicist specializing in computation and nanoscience in the Physics Department at Harvard University, and director of the National Nanotechnology Infrastructure Network Computation Project.  So let’s just say the guy pays attention to details.”
Stopa is running in the […]

To read this graph from www.fivethirtyeight.com, plug in the generic ballot along the x axis, in this case red +10 (for +10 GOP).
Then draw a vertical line up from the red +10 and where that line hits the diagonal light blue line, is the number of seats the Democrats will lose, listed on the y […]

While the White House and the President are beating their chest about the polls showing that either a quarter or 20% of Americans believe The One is Muslim — equally illuminating is the poll that only 33% of Americans say Obama is a Christian.
While the MSM tries to repeatedly explain the President is a Christian […]

Charlie Cook, Frank Luntz, www.fivethirtyeight.com, Joseph Bafumi (writing in the Huffington Post) all predict the Dems will lose the U.S. House.
My own algorithm (unpublished) also predicts a loss of the House for the Dems, and has for months.
But the main-stream media and the Dems refuse to acknowledge the role that their Jonestown Kool-Aid Brigade played […]

The publisher of U.S. News and World Report has written a politically significant and insightful article that sums up the effect of The One and his policies of expanding entitlements and spending trillions.
Mortimer B. Zuckerman titled it “The Most Fiscally Irresponsible Government in U.S. History.”
It’s subtitle is equally clear, “Current federal budget trends […]

H/T SoitgoesinTexas

Now that the Democratic political and election types are telling Dems that ObamaCare is a big fat loser — agreeing with everything you’ve read here for the past 2 years — its time to see just how big a loser ObamaCare is for the Dems.
Right now, the average generic ballot shows the GOP has + […]

Dr. Charles Krauthammer: “Democrats think it is so politically toxic, they are not the ones who bring it up, it is Republicans who bring it up. And when you bet a trillion dollars and you know you’ve added a trillion on to our debt and you have no results, in fact you […]

Dr. Charles Krauthammer: “Given the fact that you don’t see him coming out of a church with the Bible in hand, as you would a Bush or a Clinton and the fact that he’s had this emphasis on Islam, I can understand why the numbers have widened.”
As a colleague of mine reminded […]

The following is from a Senate staffer, quoting a recent Politico story, and the [square brackets] are the staffer’s comments:
Politico reports this afternoon on a new messaging effort by liberal groups (including AARP, SEIU, the AFL-CIO, and Families USA) in an attempt to bolster support for the President’s floundering flagship initiative – the […]

The elite must be losing their minds over the news that one in four Americans think The One is a Muslim.
TIME’s poll that Americans distrust Muslims must also be driving the White House around the bend.
The One’s statement about the mosque at ground zero is looking like the arrogant middle finger to middle America that […]

The One threw his fellow Dems under the bus — again — because he is an ideologue.
First, ObamaCare destroyed his own approval rating and all the good will he gained from his unprecedented election.
Second, he sides with 28% of the electorate and sues the State of Arizona to stop the state from enforcing laws the […]

In a nutshell, the www.fivethirtyeight.com algorithm (see graph below) shows at a + 6.0 generic advantage for the GOP, the Dems lose 50 plus seats in the House.
The Dems will lose control of the House and it will be the end of Speaker Pelosi.
The Dems can continue to insist that ObamaCare has had nothing to […]

From a conscientious U.S. Senate Finance Committee staffer:
The Administration just noted that 750,000 seniors have received the $250 checks for prescription drug costs.  Doing the math provides a more interesting story:  The Trustees report from last week estimates that Medicare’s enrollment is 46.3 million (see page 10)… so the reality is that […]

ObamaCare Handout by John Goodman

While I was fishing, the White House decided on a new strategy.  Admit the truth.
This is a reflection of the fact that Obama, the President, has lied so much and so often, that only the truth has a real shot of being given any attention.
Recent lies include all of the aforementioned health care whoopers (you […]

Really, I’m in northern Canada, canoeing over 12 lakes and carrying canoes and gear over eight portages.  No cell, no internet.   Last year we saw a bear from our canoe.
But mostly, I’ll be fishing for bass with my two sons and my brother and his two sons.
BIG FUN.
Back on screen Tuesday.

The Senator says she got the message from the Missouri vote, but concludes that the public just doesn’t understand.
In fact, it is that she does not understand.
She is another arrogant, liberal who refuses to  care what her voters want.  Why?  Because she understands, and her voters do not.
Just how many voters are “starting to realize” […]

Here is what an eight point lead in the generic vote means, according algorithms which were substantially accurate last cycle.
An eight point lead in the generic vote means that the Dems will lose 65 seats in the U.S. and will lose control of the U.S. Senate as well.
Here is the predictive algorithm by fivethirtyeight.com, in […]

For the GOP, ObamaCare is the toxic waste dump that has the curious characteristic of only adversely impacting the political health of Democrats.   Many Dems, in fact, have had their political life ended by ObamaCare, and the mortality figures are only expected to get worse.
The key part of ObamaCare, the federal mandate that all Americans […]

Among the mainstream media, there have been sporadic, hiccup like moments when the Ministry of Propaganda lets something slip about the real truth about ObamaCare.
You know the feeling, you think — “they” allowed that to be published?
I do not have a list of places this has happened, it is merely my sense that it seems […]

Denial is a powerful emotion, and the Dems are eating, breathing, thinking and living in denial.
ObamaCare, they repeat to themselves, has nothing to do with the pounding they are taking in the polls.  They ignore the fact that the lion’s share of their current polling demise, and The One’s massive polling collapse, happened during the […]

The Congressional Budget Office, in the form of the Director’s blog, gives the U.S. a warning about its debt, which in my book, is the single most hypocritical statement since Obama claimed ObamaCare will save money.
CBO blessed and legitimized fake Medicare cuts, which were used to fund the ObamaCare entitlement with fake “savings,” allowing Obama […]

Liberals and their enablers who are feeling the political pain of passing laws like ObamaCare that the public opposes, console themselves with platitudes about the morality of their cause and the laws they passed:
“I feel satisfied because the Democrats have overseen a bunch of programs that, while unappreciated now, are probably going to […]

From Economics21.org, by James Capretta:

“The primary problem is quite plainly out of control federal spending. In 2008, total federal outlays were about $2.9 trillion. President Obama wants to add $1 trillion to that total in 2011, or about a 33% […]

Click here to see the 159 Agencies Created Map.

Click here to see the U.S. Government Wall Chart of the ObamaCare Implementation Time Line.

Does anyone believe that the U.S. borrowing 41 cents for every dollar it spends can last?
 
Does anyone believe that The One can do anything except keep spending?  Or raising taxes?
 
Does anyone believe that the new entitlement of $2.5 Trillion for ObamaCare is going to […]

The Speaker’s assertion that unemployment checks create jobs is so wrong, its hard to even begin to talk to someone who holds such an ignorant view of basic economics.  And now jobless claims are up this week, symptomatic of Dem leadership gone really, really wrong.
As if the world needed anymore confirmation that the Speaker needs […]

Rationer in Chief’s “Hearing”

Click here for The Next Bridge to Nowhere, part II

Well, well, well — how the tables have turned.
After spending a whole article apologizing for the Obama polls, Fineman goes on to explain in detail the tactics the Dems are going to use against white male voters — attack the GOP.
But then, at the end of the article, Fineman lets slip the real tactic:
“The goal, […]

Speaker Pelosi will lose control of the U.S. House, if the generic congressional ballot remains at +3 or higher for the GOP — and given the state of the economy, the millstone around House Dems necks called ObamaCare and The One’s Bush-like poll numbers, uh, bye-bye Madame Speaker.

If the Dems haven’t realized it yet, the constant pounding on ObamaCare will never, ever stop.
Unless, of course, the law is repealed or defeated in the courts.
The law creates too many juicy political and policy targets, just many too many.  It is a “target-rich environment.”
And the cram-down by which it was done had provided the […]

Here is Michael Tanner’s new Bad Medicine report, written for the layman, and I urge you to download and read it.
Tanner’s Executive Summary:
“For better or worse, President Obama’s health care reform bill is now law. The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act represents the most significant transformation of the American health care system […]

When Illinois cannot pay its firemen, policemen and teachers — which is happening right now — it is because the Democrats refuse to cut state entitlement spending.
And because the Democrats keep trying to spend and borrow their way to producing jobs and saving their precious entitlement programs that are bankrupting the country.
But the Dems have […]

Click here for The Next Bridge to Nowhere

Remember the Dem mantra, repeat after me: ObamaCare had nothing to do with these poll numbers.  Absolutely nothing.  Not a single thing.  Nada.  Nope.  Not these numbers, no-sirie-Bob.  ObamaCare is helping the Dems, yep:
From Gallup: “PRINCETON, NJ — Thirty-eight percent of independents approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, the first […]

Click here for the full poll results on the June 30 Marist Poll: Half of Voters say Obama has Failed

The video of The One at the G-20 summit talking about “tough choices” and how he has already taken steps to cut the deficit was too much to bear without pointing out the obvious — the current President of the United States is a serial liar. (H/T Drudge Report.)
He says he […]

It is unprecedented for the majority party to announce, through its hand-maidens and cut-outs, that it will mount a $125 million defense of the President’s signature domestic policy law, unless that law is so unpopular that it is causing the majority party to have to do something — anything to sweep […]

About two hours ago I read E.J. Dionne’s email, about his post, which he wrote to RedState in response to my post, which I also posted on the HSA Coalition site, here.
Dionne’s email says:
Greetings. You recently posted a critique of a column I wrote this week and I chose to reply to […]

E.J. Dionne, one of the single most annoying liberals on the planet, simply dismisses the NPR poll out of hand (it shows 49% re-electing their GOP Member of Congress, but only 34% re-electing the Dem) by calling it “preposterous:”
“But the numbers in the NPR survey are so bad that Democrats might pause before becoming […]

Every media organization will report the NPR poll showing the Dems getting their throats cut in the November election, and Nancy Pelosi losing her job as Speaker, by studiously avoiding the one thing that everyone understands caused the Dems to lose so much public support, so quickly: ObamaCare.
The Dems pride and arrogance is fed by […]

From Brian McManus of the House Republican Conference Committee:
* * * IMPORTANT LEGISLATIVE ALERT * * * HOUSE GOP TO FORCE VOTE ON REPEAL OF HEART OF OBAMACARE; AMERICANS URGED TO SPEAK OUT IMMEDIATELY AT WWW.AMERICASPEAKINGOUT.COM
House Republicans have just announced plans to force a vote as soon as today on a measure by […]

Now that the failure of the ObamaStimulus has been laid bare — 41,000 private jobs in May created, but 400,000 plus temporary government census jobs on the books — it is clear that the Trillion Dollar President is out of arrows in his lets-spend-and-borrow-our-way-out-of-the-recession quiver.
Liberals who are now calling for more […]

In case you are wondering, here is what FNG means.
And here is a newsflash, with the lowest-ever rating for Congress and Gallup predicting the voters want the FNG, just did you expect to happen?

ObamaCare could have been stopped if health care industries, the drug companies and health insurers, principally, had opposed the law from the beginning.
Even with the now-retiring “pro-life” Stupak Double Cross, the bill only passed the House with three votes after double-crossing Stupak delivered nine.
Now, Obama plans on a $125 million ObamaCare television-ad love-fest to protect […]

When the U.S. is adding $5 billion in debt each day, and President Obama, ignoring and stomping on the will of the people passed his $2.5 Trillion spending plan called ObamaCare — it enrages me because I believe that President Obama is destroying the country, and the world economy, because he simply will not, and […]

Last time I checked, 33 states were in Court over a provision in ObamaCare.
So what, right?
Well, the fact that the Dems could not have a conference to make improvements in the Senate bill, by amendment or a House-Senate conference (because Senator McConnell, at the behest of Senator DeMint, objected to the appointment of the  conferees) […]

This mid-term election graph above, from fivethirtyeight.com, is as good as algorithm based election projection gets — and the Gallup generic ballot number, now plus six for the GOP — means that Speaker Pelosi will lose her job, the Dems will be a broken and defeated political force whose irrational ObamaCare behavior was, in fact, […]

TAPS

These are from a book called Disorder in the American Courts, and are things people actually said in court, word for word, taken down and now published by court reporters who had the torment of staying calm while these exchanges were actually taking place.
____________________________________________
ATTORNEY: Are you sexually active?
WITNESS: No, I just lie there.
____________________________________________
ATTORNEY: This myasthenia […]

Donate to Rick Barber.

From National Underwriter:
 
The Internal Revenue Service has left the 2011 health savings account “indexed amounts” unchanged.
The 2011 maximum contribution limit for individual HSAs will hold steady at $3,050, IRS officials write in IRS Revenue Procedure 2010-22.
The 2011 maximum contribution limit for family HSAs […]

Lets face it: bipartisanship has ended.
How else can you describe what is going in Washington today?
President Obama will speak with those who have opposing views, but only to define his arguments to be used against those making them.
And the Democrats will follow the lead of the White House.
Meanwhile, at an invitation only meeting in the […]

The political suicide forced on the rank and file Democrats by the delusionals — the Speaker, the President and Axelrod — will bear its bitter fruit in November.  Yesterday, it was the double-crossing Bart Stupak to drink his career-ending Kool-Aide.
But the Dems-in-denial cannot dismiss credible predictive models on U.S. House seat losses by either party, […]

From: ObamaCare Flatlines:

“An estimated 30 million families use pre-tax dollars in Flexible Spending Accounts (FSA) to pay for routine medical care and other vital child care services.
“Parents with special needs children use their pre-tax FSA dollars to pay for […]

The pro-life Right to Life PAC in Indiana has now, finally, got the pro-life Democrat joke.
The PAC is not endorsing any of the so-called pro-life Indiana Democrats who voted for ObamaCare.
And so the Democratic political suicide team forced their own members to fore sake their public position on abortion and vote […]

This 30 second television commercial writes itself: the Congressional Research Service confirms ObamaCare allows rapists and sex offenders to get federally subsidized Viagra.
Here is the U.S. Senate Roll Call vote on Amendment Number 3556, an amendment by Senator Coburn (R-OK) to prohibit the federally subsidized Viagra for rapists and sex offenders, which failed by a […]

The militarization of ObamaCare? (See this FOX News video of Judge Napolitano on this unknown provision of ObamaCare.)
Why haven’t you heard about this before?
Well, there were no debates, no hearings, no speeches on the floor, or in Committee — but ObamaCare creates a military corp — in an airdropped Section […]

About a year ago my daughter was faced with a choice, Med school or nursing school, and she wanted to know my thoughts. It was not an issue of grades or of cost, it was an issue of her own preference.
I told her if she really had a burning desire to be a doctor she […]

Senator Vitter (R-LA) offered an amendment last night to repeal ObamaCare.  This vote was on a motion to table, meaning to set aside.  So, a Yea vote is to set the amendment aside — meaning Yea is against repeal of ObamaCare.  This ought give some more clarity in the November election.  Sen. Vitter’s opponent, a […]

Word on the street is that the our debt holders — who in the main are Japan and China — are none to pleased about spending $2.5 trillion on ObamaCare.
In related news, the United States is losing its AAA bond rating.  Really.

There are many who are now urging and predicting the Dems will pivot away from health care, for damage control reasons.
And no one can or has told the One to shut up about health care.  He is planning to talk, and talk, and talk about it.
Well, historic and far-reaching legislation that passes against the will […]

The simple truth is that Rep. Stupak is responsible for ObamaCare passing in the House of Representatives.
Without his votes, it would have failed, and did not pass by many votes even with his votes — 219 to 212.
The effect of the law itself on Health Savings Accounts will be determined by the implementation of the […]

One of the most amusing things about watching the Dems who are going to vote YES is that they are simply misinformed about what the Senate is going to do, and what the House must then do.
Even when their own Democratic Senators tell them — the sheep that are Yes in the […]

FOX News ought to be ashamed of itself. Pushing their only two away, only one away, the Dems have the votes, they are at plus one in the Yes vote tally. They were wrong when they reported it and they are still wrong.
While FOX News was reporting that the Fat […]

Speaker Pelosi does not have the YES votes she needs, but the Dems insist on voting on ObamaCare on Thursday, Friday, Saturday, uh, Sunday. Hoyer said this morning they still don’t have the votes. FireDogLake’s count is at 192 Yes votes, with the No votes rising to 208. Staff […]

“Mr. President, I send an unprinted Amendment to the desk, and ask for its immediate consideration,” are the exact words that any U.S. Senator can say when offering this amendment on the floor of the U.S. Senate.
This amendment, below, should be walked down to the floor of the U.S. Senate and […]

The natural reaction by most Americans to the unofficial and preliminary claim that the $2.5 Trillion ObamaCare bill is revenue-neutral is, well, B.S. (There is a card game with the same name.)
The second natural reaction is the realization that ObamaCare must cut the guts out of Medicare and raise taxes […]

Having been up on the House side for the last two days, I can report that the fog of war has enveloped the Speaker and will attempt to explain why the Speaker is losing. CNN puts the Speaker down 11 votes, FireDogLake puts the Speaker down 26 — Yes at […]

Does the Slaughter “pass the bill without voting on it” plan give the No votes political cover from both the left and the right?
Cover from the left: the undecideds who vote No could then say — I did not vote against the President’s health reform plan, I voted against the rule.
Cover from […]

Sorry I can’t embed the video for some reason, but here is the link.

I spent the day on Capital Hill yesterday talking to House Dems and will be there all day today too. Here are seven reasons the Senate GOP, with Senator Byrd, are going to blindside the House Dems:

1) The House undecideds have been told by exactly no one of the existence […]

For the .pdf of this document, click here: U.S. Chamber Myth and Fact on Senate Bill
Myth and Fact: White House Misinformation on Health Care Bill
The White House has posted a document on their web site about the “President’s Proposal” for health reform – which is, in actuality, a proposal for the House to pass the […]

Rep. John Adler (D-N.J.): If the House and Senate can’t work out cost containment, I don’t see how I could support a bill that doesn’t help our business community,” Rep. John Adler (D., N.J.) said on “Fox News Sunday.” (John D. McKinnon and Jared […]

Even the Dem supporters and defenders know they are down big in the whip count (this one is from FireDogLake) and even Clive Cook writing in the Financial Times acknowledges that the Dems have lost the war of public opinion:
the line taken by defenders of comprehensive healthcare reform goes like this. […]

The vast majority of likely voters strongly oppose ObamaCare — and the best word to sum up the emotions and frustrations of those voters who have had to endure the insanity of the health care jihadists is that they hate ObamaCare.
And the two largest subsets of those strongly opposed are independents […]

Axelrod, message maven for Obama, says they will have the votes in the House. Really. It says so right here, on ABC NEWS.
And Chuck Todd of NBC News tweets:
Clyburn on #MTP (Meet the Press) says House Dems do NOT yet have the votes. Matches Pelosi who said “when you […]

They announced they are planning to have a vote next week, but the Speaker is still looking for “certain assurances” from the U.S. Senate.
They do not have the votes to pass it. Here is the latest from The Hill newspaper’s Whip Count:
Thirty-four House Democrats are either firm no […]

In the latest Mad-Magazine-like-Spy-vs.-Spy move, the House Dems have hatched a plan which reminds me of their ill-fated plan to delay seating Senator-elect Scott Brown until they had another ObamaCare vote on the Senate floor.
The Dems backed down. Similarly, they will back down from the Slaughter plan.
Former Speaker Gingrich describes the Slaughter plan in […]

Or watch it here.

The Speaker’s flip-flops are catching up with her.
And the strangeness is starting to show (see the video): we have to pass the Senate bill so the public can see what is in it.
Her famed control over house members minds is fading: She supported Chairman Rangel right up until she dumped him. She did not have the muscle […]

The media is now pulling out all the stops to help Obama win the House vote. They know he is in deep trouble and they need to help. And they will keep helping, reporting as if the vote is in the bag.
But do not fear. Jay Cost has the real house vote count. (Rep. Massa’s claims […]