Poll Forecast: Slight GOP Edge in House for Midterms Could Be Overcome by People of Color and Progressive Women Candidates

Their scenario C comes to the same conclusion as my algorithm: “Democrats 205-212 seats, with 223-230 for the GOP. Generic Ballot Polling over projected Democrats totals by three points or more in both 2006 and 2014 based on the RealClearPolitics average of polling in those years. If this has happened again, expect a long, bad night for Democrats similar to November 8, 2016.”

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